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Hello. Yes this is another better entry. Sorry. I've been horrifically busy lately and thus, my diary has gone on the backburner. On the flip side, I hope to have another entry by the end of today. Hopefully I can get it done by then. Until then realize this is a Sports Betting entry. ____________________________________________________
Gump Bets�
Football betting is big. So big that Gump enjoys speculating on the out come of games. --for entertainment purposes only, of course-- Remember, the people who make the lines in Vegas usually know what they are doing, and Gump has learned that the hard way. But you can win if you don't play so here are our Football picks for Week Six.
Were the season to end today, The Patriots would probably end up playing the Denver Broncos in the second round, so this is an extremely hypothetical playoff preview. The bad news is that Denver is 4-1, with homefield advantage, the Patriots haven't held a single opponent under 20 points all year, it took an intentional safety to win there last time, and this is the site of Tom Brady's first four career interceptions. The good news is this years Denver is bad against the pass (25th in yards allowed), Tom is leading the league in passing stats, and Denver is ranked 32 in 3rd down conversions, and they have pretty terrible special team coverage. So maybe our defense will make some big stops and Brady can throw some deep balls!
However, Denver has won four in a row, and we have yet to win back to back games. The Patriot are playing very mediocre football right now, and with the injuries they have sustained over the past few weeks, our secondary is nothing more than patchwork, our running game looks week and tired, or rookie linemen keep making stupid penalties at critical moments, and worst of all, we have one interception all year.
If you want to look as to why the Patriots are playing poorly, it's because we are not forcing any turnovers. To win on Sunday we need to force Jake "The Snake" Plummer to throw it, and we need to make Denver turn the ball over so that our offense can start in good field position. Unfortunately, Gump thinks that our team is screaming to reassemble in the bye week following this game, and Gump highly doubts that we will pull out a win in Denver.
DENVER (-3.0) Patriots --- DENVER
(Home teams in Caps)
PITTSBURGH (NO LINE) Jacksonville ---We'd rather touch the sun than this game. Vegas won't even give it a line. Can you blame them? With equal chances of a 15-1 quarterback vs Charlie "The Pickmaster" Batch starting for a one dimensional offense, and Jacksonville with a good defense; this game could be a blowout either way. Just don't bet on this game. Run away. Run far, far away. NO PICK
TAMPA BAY (-4.5) Miami --- If Miami couldn't stop Kelly Holcomb, they aren't gonna be stopping Brian Greise. And don't even think for a second that a "drug-free" Ricky Williams is going to make a difference. TAMPA
BALTIMORE (-5.0) Cleveland --- Call me crazy, but why is a team that only beat Brooks Bollinger's Jets giving five points to a 2-2 team? Sure Cleveland beat Green Bay and Chicago, but their losses were close to the 4-1 Bengals and 5-0 Colts! CLEVELAND
Atlanta (-4.5) NEW ORLEANS --- A superbowl Contender vs a team playing a "home" game in the Alamodome? Vick is going to be playing and Atlanta is a good road team. The Saints might be the worst 2-2 in the league with huge injuries to their offense, and their home fans are more likely to be cheering for Dallas. ATLANTA
CHICAGO (-3.0) Minnesota --- Two words: Sex Cruise. As if the 1-3 Vikings didn't look horrible enough, they spent their bye week sailing around a lake on the Boat de la Debauchery. The Vikings just might be the worst team in the NFC North, and that's like saying Kevin "Payday" Cash is the worst catcher on the Devil Rays. CHICAGO.
DALLAS (-3.5) NY Giants --- A very good match-up and even opponents. The Giants are playing well and coming off a bye week. We just can't help thinking the wheels have got to come off the Bledsoe/Glenn connection. The last time that was working it was 1996. � NY GIANTS.
Carolina (-1.0) DETROIT --- Detroit beat Green Bay and the Ravens. However, in a 35-17 win Joey Harrington threw 97 yards with two picks. Their running back ran for 77 yards? Do you think numbers like that will beat Carolina? Maybe, since Carolina has almost given away their last two games to the abysmal Pack and the hapless Cards. However, Gump can't put money on Joey Harrington to win a tough game. --- CAROLINA
Cincinnati (-3.0) TENNESSEE --- The Titans beat Houston and all of a sudden the 4-1 Bengalis are only giving three points? Easy Money! (of course last week we thought the Eagles were easy money) W-K-R-P Baby!
KANSAS CITY (-6.0) Washington --- Washington lost by two points to Denver on the Road. Devner is a better team than Kansas City and has better home field advantage. Take the points! WASHINGTON.
BUFFALO (-3.0) NY Jets --- Vinny Testaverde is 41 years old, and is playing with a cane. Kelly Holcomb is flat out terrible. But the Jets haven't won on the road, and I don't think they are going to start this week. BUFFALO.
San Diego (-2.0) OAKLAND --- The reason why this spread is only two points is because the 1-3 Oakland Raiders has hung close in all their losses. But if San Diego can come in to Foxboro and whip us like rented mules, they can win in Oakland by a field goal. SAN DIEGO
SEATTLE (-10) Houston. --- Houston is the worst team in football, but Seattle has never been a team to be trusted. Remember the Dallas Comeback on Monday night? How about the day Anthony Wright's ripped a hole in the space time continuum to steer the Ravens to a 44 point win over Seattle? This game just stinks of disaster, and while I think Houston sucks, Seattle's not covering. HOUSTON
INDIANAOLIS (-13.5) St Louis --- This ain't you Daddy's Colts. The new team is based on defense and the offense actually has looked BAD. We think that it's an evil plan to not give Belichick any film to dismantle Peyton this year, allowing Peyton to throw for 10 touchdowns and go for two every play in Foxboro this year. However, until then, the Colts are still a good team. They will win, but they aren't 14 points good. They didn't cover against Jacksonville or Cleveland. This is a Mike Martzless Rams team and Marc Bulger will undoubtedly throw a trash time touch down to make it 30-22 with 4 minutes left. ST. LOUIS
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